Chase Forecast: April 26th - West Texas

My Top 3

I will be driving to Childress, TX after work this afternoon to set up for a Saturday chase in West Texas. Low level moisture will return back north tomorrow across West Texas with dewpoints reaching upper 50s to near 60 as far north as northwest Texas. Another shortwave disturbance will dive southeast out of the Rockies tomorrow putting West Texas in substantial forcing for ascent and subsequent deep, moist convective development. Surface-based CAPE values may reach 2000 J/kg by late afternoon. At this point, I’ve got my eye on an area between Lubbock and Childress, but may travel as far south as I-20 to Abilene. The key tomorrow is to a) be close the advancing low level moisture and b) remain well south of the charging cold front. I think both should be accomplished with relative ease.