Chase Forecast: April 26th - West Texas [post 2]

My Top 3

Sitting in Childress at this time about to take off for Lubbock area where I’lllikely spend much of the afternoon. RUC and NAM suggest near 2000 J/kgto develop in the northward advecting moist axis through West TX. Del Rio morning sounding shows pretty good moisture which is already advectingnorthwest just off the surface. Midland sounding had highest mixing ratiojust above ground level with near 50F. I think by 00 UTC, there shouldbe widespread upper 50s to near 60 dewpoints from Midland to Lamesa toSnyder…perhaps as far north as Lubbock. I think the best play is right atthe nose of the good low level juice… so my initial target isLamesa-Post-Snyder area for initial 22-00 UTC development…thentowards Jayton-Rotan-Aspermont area later in the evening.